weather

So yeah, the weather forecast for January 18th turned out to be pretty much bang-on. Time to move on to a new crackpot theory.

As of right now, this is the forecast for Sunday, January 18th (tomorrow):

As you can see, it is only slightly different than before. “Mainly sunny” instead of “sunny”, a high of 6 instead of 8. But you watch, overnight, the forecast will change to “blizzard with angry polar bears”.

When I operated the Locarno Beach concession back in 1996-98 I checked weather updates with a near-relifgious fervor as business rested entirely on the weather being sunny and pleasant. Today, thanks to the vast richness that is the world wide web, I can check weather forecasts 24 hours a day. For example, there is The Weather Network (that should show the forecast for Vancouver). The Weather Network is about as accurate as one might expect.

Or is it? <ominous piano chord>

I have noticed of late a typical pattern. The last day of the forecast is always really nice. Then when that day actually arrives, it’s snowing or flooding or something. I’m thinking they have some standing order to make the end of the forecast look nice to fill people with hope and to have them keep coming back to see if it’s changed. When that day actually arrives it is, of course, snowing or flooding. I’m going to test this crackpot theory by linking a copy of their little graphic for the last day of the forecast then following up with updated images as we get closer to the actual date in question — January 18th. As you can see, there is no snow or flooding predicted:

The 0% is the chance for precipitation. The 18th is six days hence. How wrong could they end up being in just six little days? Let’s find out!